11 December 2008

More and More getting away with murder

A disturbing new trend in crime fighting - the clearance rate for murders is down from a high of 91% in 1963, to 61% in 2007.

Part of the reason for the decline is that detectives have had more and more obstacles put in their way. Defendants within the last 10 years have sued saying that they were coerced in to confessing so interviews were required to be video-taped.

"Witnesses" to murders or aggravated batteries, who were in reality the possible offenders, were required to be charged within 48 hours of detention. The dicks used to be able to detain someone for 72 hours. The "72 hour" clock would start when the person was arrested. Now the clock starts when they're placed in the squad car and they have to be charged within 48 hours of being detained. Detectives lost valuable interrogation time when the courts stripped that away.

...Here's a slice from the AP article:

CHICAGO (AP) - Despite the rise of DNA fingerprinting and other "CSI"-style crime-fighting wizardry, more and more people in this country are getting away with murder. FBI figures reviewed by The Associated Press show that the homicide clearance rate, as detectives call it, dropped from 91 percent in 1963 - the first year records were kept in the manner they are now - to 61 percent in 2007.

Law enforcement officials say the chief reason is a rise in drug- and gang-related killings, which are often impersonal and anonymous, and thus harder to solve than slayings among family members or friends. As a result, police departments are carrying an ever-growing number of "cold-case" murders on their books.

The clearance rate is the number of homicides solved in a year, compared with the number of killings committed that year. The solved killings can include homicides committed in previous years.

The number of criminal homicides committed in the U.S. climbed from 4,566 in 1963 to 14,811 in 2007, according to the FBI. The clearance rate has been dropping pretty steadily over the past four decades, slipping under 80 percent in the early 1970s and below 70 percent in the late 1980s. In cities with populations over 1 million, the 2007 clearance rate was 59 percent, down from 89 percent in 1963.

Detectives say homicides generally become harder to solve as time goes by, as witnesses die and memories fade. Yet cold-case detectives say their units are often understaffed. And local police are getting less help for cold cases from Washington. Funding for the main federal program for such cases was cut 40 percent from 2005 to 2007.


And while we're on the subject, it turns out that blacks and hispanics account for the majority of criminals in New York city. Gee - whodathunk it?

I guess that nearly obliterates the cultural diversity argument because if such a great disparity exists in offenders, as we see them delineate along racial lines, then there is no "diversity" when it comes to crime: It exists clearly only on ONE side.

The Bureau of Justice stats support this. Based on current rates of first incarceration, an estimated 32% of black males will enter State or Federal prison during their lifetime, compared to 17% of Hispanic males and 5.9% of white males.

From the Daily News:

Black New Yorkers are 13 times more likely to be murdered - or arrested for murder - than whites, an NYPD crime analysis shows.

Blacks and Hispanics dominated tallies of both suspects and victims, according to an NYPD racial breakdown of crimes requested by the Daily News.

The News asked for the stats after civil rights groups slammed the NYPD because 90% of people shot at by cops in 2007 - the last year for which data was available - were black or Hispanic. Police brass said that was because minorities accounted for the majority of crime suspects and victims.

Of the 244 murders between Jan. 1 and June 30 this year, 64.8% of the victims were black, records showed. Hispanics accounted for 23.4% of the victims, whites 7.4% and Asians 4.5%.

Using NYPD stats, the homicide rate per 1 million in population was 81.1 for blacks and 6.3 for whites.Among murder arrests, blacks accounted for 64.9%, Hispanics 27.2%, whites 7.3% and Asians less than 1%.

The racial tallies bear little resemblance to the ethnic makeup of New York City: 34.8% white, 27.6% Hispanic and 23.7% black, 2006 Census data shows.



And what about all the criminals who do crime and after crime? What are the recidivism rates for offenders? Here's a nice recap, again, from the the Bureau of Justice:

# Of the 272,111 persons released from prisons in 15 States in 1994, an estimated 67.5% were rearrested for a felony or serious misdemeanor within 3 years, 46.9% were reconvicted, and 25.4% resentenced to prison for a new crime.

# The 272,111 offenders discharged in 1994 accounted for nearly 4,877,000 arrest charges over their recorded careers.

# Within 3 years of release, 2.5% of released rapists were rearrested for another rape, and 1.2% of those who had served time for homicide were arrested for a new homicide.

# Sex offenders were less likely than non-sex offenders to be rearrested for any offense –– 43 percent of sex offenders versus 68 percent of non-sex offenders.

# Sex offenders were about four times more likely than non-sex offenders to be arrested for another sex crime after their discharge from prison –– 5.3 percent of sex offenders versus 1.3 percent of non-sex offenders.


And from recent events, it looks as if Michelle and Barack Obama are no different. Let's hope that by the end of January 2009, the inauguration is replaced by a resignation.

Have a great day.


Anonymous said...

And from recent events, it looks as if Michelle and Barack Obama are no different. Let's hope that by the end of January 2009, the inauguration is replaced by a resignation.

Come on, Rue-y!! You are comparing the President elect and pending First Lady to murderers? That's a stretch!

Look the only thing that we know pretty much for sure is David Axelrod or Rahm Emmanuel talked to Blagojevich, or one of his people.

I read through the 75-page complaint and could not find anything even remotely that indicated Obama would make a deal. In fact, it appears the opposite. The soon-to-be ex-governor was angry because no deal would be made.

Look it is your right to be an Obama hater, but be fair.


Anonymous said...

Oh, Yeah! All the brothers gonna be pardoned out of prison! Heard the reparations checks coming out this June. $500,000 per African American.

Anonymous said...


So let me get this straight.....Obama was so disinterested in who was going replace him in his former senate seat that he never contacted Blago.

Yeah okay!! You want to buy a bridge??

Anonymous said...

To 5:19 p.m.:

I wrote Obama did not have any direct contact with Blagojevich. I believe Axelrod or Emmanuel did have contact with Blago and told him to f*** off. And yes, Obama should have said this from the get-go.

Read the indictment. The governor was mad because Obama refused to deal. Now JJ Jr., that may be another story, I am afraid.


Lefties suck eggs said...

Obama could shoot his wife on the front lawn of the White House (ohh a wet dream!) and the lefties and the medai would scramble to make excuses for him.

The Messiah's goofy statement: “I have never spoken to the governor on this subject" will go down in history with "I never inhaled" and "I did not have sex with that woman."

In Chicago's Museum of Science and Industry they have an exhibit where chicks hatch under a plexiglass dome. If you stand at the side and tap on the glass, the entire gang of little yellow peckerheads will rush over and stare goggle-eyed, fascinated by the noise but without a clue as to what's happening. Democrats for Obama!

Anonymous said...

years back in ireland when the tenants couldnt pay the rent the brit powers that be would sent a wrecking crew out with a battering ram to knock down the thatched cottage and rightly so if you stiffed the landlord but the bright side was where else would the clancy brothers and the writers get their hard on material to sign and write about so see there is alaways a silver cloud somewhere signed SIR REGINALD THIGHPEN OF HM SAS AND HOUSE WRECKERS ESQ, AND KNIGHT TEMPLER OF THGE ANTI PAPIST CROWD.

Anonymous said...

I see you soon, back with us eh? Rue. 7 12

Anonymous said...

Look at what they hire nowdays.Thes playstation X-box officers are some of the most non-street smart dildos ive ever seen.

Anonymous said...


buy weapons and ammo to protect yourself!!!

Anonymous said...

Hey Rue'y!!

Where you been? Must be working the Obama O/T detail or something.

Anonymous said...

hey ruey ot check out hid=story channel tommorrow nite its about saucer sightings in tinley park, alaways thought this was just nuts talking till i saw them to with 2 tinley coppers, these guys claim that top secret group came into village and tried to coherse all videos taken of these things from pvt. citizens and really bogarted them, citizens said to fuck off gotta love us fortitude. anyway talk was that U S knows that they come from somewhere else but dont know why oh yeah Roswell was real coverup.

Anonymous said...

Ruey off topic, the only real thing good bout BLAGO was hisd dad was a CHETNICK partisan in Serbia in WW11 that saved lives off downed American and Brit flyers and fought against Nazi loving collabarator Catholic Croatians, for that reason alone i would cut him some slack,

Rue St. Michel said...

I see you soon, back with us eh? Rue. 7 12

5:42 PM

Yup, back with the working police. It feels good to return to the WolfPack.

And, as you've all noticed, I'm not digging on the Blago thing - he's going to get his and it will have a ripple effect. The political fuel that runs this state is corruption: It's hardly worth my time to write about it. And the previous poster is right ... Blago's Dad did fight for the partisans in Serbia so I'll give him slack for that. But my God how far the fruit has fallen from the Tree!